Meme-Powered Market Intelligence
TACO (Trump Activity Correlation Observatory) tracks Trump's Truth Social posts sentiment, combined with S&P 500, VIX, and Dollar Index market data, to calculate a daily TACO Index (0-100). Higher values indicate bullish market sentiment, lower values indicate bearish.
TACO Index
61.8
Bullish · 2026-04-18
Posts Today
17
Truth Social
Avg Sentiment
+0.37
-1 bearish → +1 bullish
Market Signal
+0.03
S&P · VIX · DXY

Market Direction Prediction S&P 500 · based on TACO Index

1 Day 3 Days 5 Days
S&P 500
63% ↑ Up
acc 49%
68% ↑ Up
acc 51%
78% ↑ Up
acc 55%
NASDAQ
55% ↑ Up
acc 47%
72% ↑ Up
acc 48%
77% ↑ Up
acc 51%
Dow Jones
56% ↑ Up
acc 53%
59% ↑ Up
acc 48%
76% ↑ Up
acc 58%
⚠️ Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only, based on historical TACO Index statistics. It is NOT investment advice. Markets are influenced by countless factors. Please do not make any investment decisions based on this. Past performance ≠ future results. Data lag notice: Market data reflects the previous trading day's closing price. Intraday movements are not captured. Sentiment signals may precede market reactions by 1–2 days.

TACO Index vs S&P 500

TACO (left axis) vs S&P 500 / NASDAQ / VIX (right axis, normalized to 100)
Click event markers to Google search

Sentiment × N-Day Forward Return Correlation

Pearson r: positive = bullish TACO sentiment predicts market up

Sentiment Bucket × Return Horizon

Average S&P 500 forward return (%) grouped by TACO sentiment bucket

Sentiment vs Next-Day S&P 500 Return

Each dot = one day: X = TACO avg sentiment, Y = next-day S&P return (%)

Market Prices

Symbol Date Close
AAPL 2026-04-09 260.49
BNO 2026-04-09 48.52
DX-Y.NYB 2026-04-17 98.22
FXI 2026-04-17 37.71
GLD 2026-04-09 437.91
GOOGL 2026-04-09 318.49
IAU 2026-04-09 89.72
META 2026-04-09 628.39
MSFT 2026-04-09 373.07
NVDA 2026-04-09 183.91
QQQ 2026-04-09 610.19
SMH 2026-04-17 462.18
SPY 2026-04-09 679.91
USO 2026-04-09 126.96
UVXY 2026-04-09 41.13
VIXY 2026-04-09 29.40
^DJI 2026-04-17 49548.48
^GSPC 2026-04-17 7126.95
^IXIC 2026-04-17 24460.01
^VIX 2026-04-17 18.18

Recent Posts

2026-04-18T05:15 +0.00 neutral View original
RT: https://truthsocial.com/users/realDonaldTrump/statuses/116424005080834976
2026-04-18T05:11 +0.00 neutral View original
RT: https://truthsocial.com/users/realDonaldTrump/statuses/116423987219362297
2026-04-18T05:10 +0.00 neutral View original
RT: https://truthsocial.com/users/realDonaldTrump/statuses/116423985260460652
2026-04-18T05:06 +0.00 neutral View original
RT: https://truthsocial.com/users/realDonaldTrump/statuses/116423967114156778THANK YOU!
2026-04-18T04:25 +0.00 neutral View original
RT: https://truthsocial.com/users/realDonaldTrump/statuses/116423805453465694
2026-04-18T04:24 +0.00 neutral View original
RT: https://truthsocial.com/users/realDonaldTrump/statuses/116423801851760712
2026-04-18T03:25 +0.70 economymarketdomestic View original
ANYONE SICK OF WINNING YET?
2026-04-18T02:55 +0.00 medialegalneutral View original
Was Reed Hastings forced to leave the Netflix Board because he’s a SLEAZEBAG? What was his Crime, and how many did he commit?
2026-04-18T02:27 +0.20 iranforeign-policydomestic View original
Trump Tours Pharmaceutical Manufacturing Site in Cincinnati, Gives Update on Iran: 'Way Ahead of Schedule’: https://www.breitbart.com/middle-east/2026/03/11/trump-tours-pharmaceutical-manufacturing-site-in-cincinnati-gives-update-on-iran-way-ahead-of-schedule/amp/
2026-04-18T02:25 +0.50 chinaforeign-policydeal View original
President Xi is very happy that the Strait of Hormuz is open and/or rapidly opening. Our meeting in China will be a special one and, potentially, Historic. I look forward to being with President Xi — Much will be accomplished! President DONALD J. TRUMP
2026-04-18T02:17 +0.00 legalmediadomestic View original
Mueller probe cut corners, broke rules to ‘get Trump,’ whistleblower claims: https://nypost.com/2026/03/16/us-news/mueller-probe-cut-corners-broke-rules-to-get-trump-whistleblower-claims/
2026-04-18T02:11 +0.50 energyeconomydomestic View original
Trump touts ‘historic’ $300B Texas refinery as first new US plant in nearly 50 years: https://www.foxbusiness.com/energy/trump-touts-historic-300b-texas-refinery-first-new-us-plant-nearly-50-years
2026-04-18T01:37 +0.30 economydomestic View original
Trump: Policies Like No Tax on Tips, Overtime Show GOP Is Party of Working Class: https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2026/04/16/trump-policies-like-no-tax-on-tips-overtime-show-gop-is-party-of-working-class/
2026-04-18T01:36 +0.50 economydomestic View original
Trump: Tax Deductions Deliver 'Biggest Refunds' for Tipped Workers: https://www.newsmax.com/us/las-vegas-donald-trump-tips/2026/04/17/id/1253271/
2026-04-18T01:35 +0.50 economydomestic View original
Trump credits Las Vegas as the ‘birthplace’ of no tax on tips policy, touts up to ‘$8,000′ refunds for workers: https://nypost.com/2026/04/16/us-news/trump-credits-las-vegas-as-the-birthplace-of-no-tax-on-tips-policy-touts-up-to-8000-refunds-for-workers/
2026-04-18T01:34 +0.00 mediadomestic View original
Trump reflects on Charlie Kirk at TPUSA rally: 'Charlie's voice is not silenced, it's roaring': https://justthenews.com/politics-policy/all-things-trump/trump-reflects-charlie-kirk-tpusa-rally-charlies-voice-not
2026-04-18T01:33 +0.00 medianeutral View original
Trump reveals 'very interesting' findings in top secret government UFO files and says they'll be released 'very soon': https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-15743779/donald-trump-pete-hegseth-ufo-files.html
2026-04-17T20:39 +0.30 domesticeconomyenergy View original
Later today, I will be speaking to a BIG CROWD for Turning Point USA in the Great State of Arizona, then flying back to the White House and, therefore, will not be at Mar-a-Lago tonight for a very special event honoring our wonderful Congressman from Texas’ 13th Congressional District, “Doc” Ronny Jackson. He is a good friend, 100% MAGA, and one of the most talented Medical Doctors and Politicians in our Country. HAPPY BIRTHDAY RONNY!   A respected Admiral, Congressman, and Doctor, “Doc” Ronny Jackson knows the Wisdom and Courage that is necessary to Defend our Country, Support our Brave Military/Veterans, and Ensure PEACE THROUGH STRENGTH. During my First Term, “Doc” Ronny served as one of my Senior Advisors and, as my personal Physician, prior to becoming a distinguished Congressman. In Congress, he is fighting tirelessly to Grow our Economy, Cut Taxes and Regulations, Promote MADE IN THE U.S.A., Champion American Energy DOMINANCE, Keep our Border SECURE, Advance Election Integrity, and Protect our always under siege Second Amendment.Ronny Jackson is a fighter and WINNER, and has my Complete and Total Endorsement for Re-Election. HE IS ONE OF MY ALL TIME FAVORITES, AND WILL NEVER LET YOU DOWN! President DONALD J. TRUMP
2026-04-17T19:23 -0.30 foreign-policydomestic View original
They were not there for us!
2026-04-17T19:22 +0.00 domesticmedianeutral View original
DeSantis signs bill to rename Palm Beach International Airport after Donald J. Trump: https://www.wptv.com/news/trump/desantis-signs-bill-to-rename-palm-beach-international-airport-after-donald-j-trump