Meme-Powered Market Intelligence
TACO (Trump Activity Correlation Observatory) tracks Trump's Truth Social posts sentiment, combined with S&P 500, VIX, and Dollar Index market data, to calculate a daily TACO Index (0-100). Higher values indicate bullish market sentiment, lower values indicate bearish.
TACO Index
57.6
Bullish · 2026-05-24
Posts Today
11
Truth Social
Avg Sentiment
+0.19
-1 bearish → +1 bullish
Market Signal
+0.09
S&P · VIX · DXY

Market Direction Prediction S&P 500 · based on TACO Index

1 Day 3 Days 5 Days
S&P 500
58% Up
acc 48%
57% Up
acc 51%
65% Up
acc 58%
NASDAQ
56% Up
acc 55%
58% Up
acc 55%
64% Up
acc 57%
Dow Jones
50% Up
acc 52%
52% Up
acc 49%
59% Up
acc 58%
⚠️ Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only, based on historical TACO Index statistics. It is NOT investment advice. Markets are influenced by countless factors. Please do not make any investment decisions based on this. Past performance ≠ future results. Data lag notice: Market data reflects the previous trading day's closing price. Intraday movements are not captured. Sentiment signals may precede market reactions by 1–2 days.

TACO Index vs S&P 500

TACO (left axis) vs S&P 500 / NASDAQ / VIX (right axis, normalized to 100)
Click event markers to Google search

Sentiment × N-Day Forward Return Correlation

Pearson r: positive = bullish TACO sentiment predicts market up

Sentiment Bucket × Return Horizon

Average S&P 500 forward return (%) grouped by TACO sentiment bucket

Sentiment vs Next-Day S&P 500 Return

Each dot = one day: X = TACO avg sentiment, Y = next-day S&P return (%)

Market Prices

Symbol Date Close
AAPL 2026-04-09 260.49
BNO 2026-04-29 57.93
DX-Y.NYB 2026-05-24 99.00
FXI 2026-05-22 35.38
GLD 2026-04-09 437.91
GOOGL 2026-04-09 318.49
IAU 2026-04-09 89.72
META 2026-04-09 628.39
MSFT 2026-04-09 373.07
NVDA 2026-04-09 183.91
QQQ 2026-04-09 610.19
SMH 2026-05-22 579.62
SPY 2026-04-09 679.91
USO 2026-04-09 126.96
UVXY 2026-04-09 41.13
VIXY 2026-04-09 29.40
^DJI 2026-05-22 50597.99
^GSPC 2026-05-22 7482.91
^IXIC 2026-05-22 26431.64
^VIX 2026-05-22 16.79

Recent Posts

2026-05-24T20:55 +0.00 domesticlegalelection View original
TEXAS, REMEMBER! Ken Paxton was a GREAT Attorney General, probably the best in the Country. He was also very loyal to your favorite President, ME, as the Dumocrats played their ultimate game of Weaponization, and failed, BADLY! I LOVE Texas, and WON it all three times, getting, by far, the highest (A Record!) Vote in the History of that Great & Beautiful State. Ken’s opponent was VERY disloyal to me, as President, and didn’t fight hard enough for the desperately needed SAVE AMERICA ACT - VOTER I.D., PROOF OF CITIZENSHIP, NO MAIL-IN BALLOTS (with exceptions for Military, Illness, Disability, or Travel!). What more needs to be said??? Vote for Ken Paxton on Tuesday, HE WILL NEVER LET YOU DOWN!!! President DONALD J. TRUMP
2026-05-24T19:32 +0.20 domesticeconomyderegulation View original
It is my Great Honor to endorse Ty Masterson, a fantastic Candidate running to be the next Governor of the Great State of Kansas, a place I love and WON BIG in 2016, 2020, and 2024! Ty will run on the Republican “ticket” with my friend, the Great U.S. Senator Roger Marshall, who, along with many America First Patriots in Kansas, strongly believe in him.A highly successful Small Business Owner and Entrepreneur, and Kansas’ very popular State Senate President, Ty has dedicated his life to serving his Community. As your next Governor, Ty will work tirelessly to Champion Kansas Values, Promote our Amazing Farmers and Ranchers, Grow our Economy, Cut Taxes and Regulations, Advance MADE IN THE U.S.A., Unleash American Energy DOMINANCE, Keep our Border SECURE, Stop Migrant Crime, Ensure LAW AND ORDER, Support our Brave Military, Veterans, and Law Enforcement, Safeguard our Elections, and Defend our always under siege Second Amendment.Ty Masterson has my Complete and Total Endorsement to be the next Governor of Kansas — HE WILL NEVER LET YOU DOWN!
2026-05-24T18:16 +0.20 iranforeign-policydeal View original
If I make a deal with Iran, it will be a good and proper one, not like the one made by Obama, which gave Iran massive amounts of CASH, and a clear and open path to a Nuclear Weapon. Our deal is the exact opposite, but nobody has seen it, or knows what it is. It isn’t even fully negotiated yet. So don’t listen to the losers, who are critical about something they know nothing about. Unlike those before me who should have solved this problem many years ago, I don’t make bad deals! President DJT
2026-05-24T14:10 +0.30 iranforeign-policydeal View original
One of the worst deals ever made by our Country was the Iran Nuclear Deal, put forth and signed into existence by Barack Hussein Obama and the rank amateurs of the Obama Administration. It was a direct path to Iran developing a Nuclear Weapon. Not so with the transaction currently being negotiated with Iran by the Trump Administration - THE EXACT OPPOSITE, in fact! The negotiations are proceeding in an orderly and constructive manner, and I have informed my representatives not to rush into a deal in that time is on our side. The Blockade will remain in full force and effect until an agreement is reached, certified, and signed. Both sides must take their time and get it right. There can be no mistakes! Our relationship with Iran is becoming a much more professional and productive one. They must understand, however, that they cannot develop or procure a Nuclear Weapon or Bomb. I would like to thank, thus far, all of the countries of the Middle East for their support and cooperation, which will be further enhanced and strengthened by their joining the Nations of the historic Abraham Accords and, who knows, perhaps the Islamic Republic of Iran would like to join, as well! Thank you for your attention to this matter. President DONALD J. TRUMP
2026-05-24T13:53 -0.20 domesticlegalenvironment View original
The Dumocrats don’t want to allow FISHING. Fighting us in Court. Bad for the environment. Amazing! President DJT
2026-05-24T12:12 +0.50 chinatradedeal View original
“President Xi and President Trump are AMAZING!”
2026-05-24T12:12 +0.50 chinatradedeal View original
“President Xi and President Trump are AMAZING!”
2026-05-24T12:01 -0.30 legaldomesticmedia View original
This is a bad (Sick!) group of people. Very destructive to our great Nation. Caused tremendous damage through Weaponization! President DJT
2026-05-24T05:09 -0.30 immigrationdomestic View original
“Birthright Citizenship is suicide for our Country!” Mark Levin
2026-05-24T04:23 +0.00 securitydomesticlaw-enforcement View original
Thank you to our great Secret Service and Law Enforcement for the swift and professional action taken this evening against a gunman near the White House, who had a violent history and possible obsession with our Country’s most cherished structure. The gunman is dead after an exchange of gunfire with Secret Service Agents near the White House gates. This event is one month removed from the White House Correspondent’Dinner shooting, and goes to show how important it is, for all future Presidents, to get, what will be, the most safe and secure space of its kind ever built in Washington, D.C. The National Security of our Country demands it!
2026-05-24T01:59 +0.00 domesticmedia View original
The Democrats just released an “Autopsy” of their 2024 Presidential Campaign, typos and all, but they refused to discuss two very important words, BAD POLICY. The candidates, Sleepy Joe and then, Kamala, weren’t so “HOT” either! President DJT
2026-05-23T20:30 +0.80 foreign-policyirandeal View original
I am in the Oval Office at the White House where we just had a very good call with President Mohammed bin Salman Al Saud, of Saudi Arabia, Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan, of The United Arab Emirates, Emir Tamim bin Hamad bin Khalifa Al Thani, Prime Minister Mohammed bin Abdulrahman bin Jassim bin Jaber Al Thani, and Minister Ali al-Thawadi, of Qatar, Field Marshal Syed Asim Munir Ahmed Shah, of Pakistan, President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, of Türkiye, President Abdel Fattah El-Sisi, of Egypt, King Abdullah II, of Jordan, and King Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa, of Bahrain, concerning the Islamic Republic of Iran, and all things related to a Memorandum of Understanding pertaining to PEACE. An Agreement has been largely negotiated, subject to finalization between the United States of America, the Islamic Republic of Iran, and the various other Countries, as listed. Separately, I had a call with Prime Minister Bibi Netanyahu, of Israel, which, likewise, went very well. Final aspects and details of the Deal are currently being discussed, and will be announced shortly. In addition to many other elements of the Agreement, the Strait of Hormuz will be opened. Thank you for your attention to this matter! President DONALD J. TRUMP
2026-05-23T17:00 +0.20 foreign-policyneutral View original
Thank you President Erdogan!“President Trump is the leader the world has been awaiting for centuries — He doesn’t just talk about strength — He embodies it.”
2026-05-23T16:59 +0.00 neutral View original
https://www.pressandjournal.co.uk/fp/sport/golf/7019115/trump-international-lands-colin-montgomeries-seal-of-approval/
2026-05-23T16:58 +0.00 neutral View original
RT: https://truthsocial.com/users/realDonaldTrump/statuses/116624948733776921
2026-05-23T16:57 +0.00 legalmediadomestic View original
The same Dems and anti-Trumpers who are melting down over pardons now didn’t say a word while Americans were getting buried under unjust prison sentences, financially destroyed, and politically targeted by a weaponized justice system.Funny how “mercy” suddenly matters now.I’ve watched prosecutors try to turn ordinary convictions into life-destroying sentences. I’ve watched families get crushed while the media shrugged because the defendant’s politics made them easy to hate.Some were innocent. Some were clearly overcharged. Many never stood a fair chance against the machine.Pardons and clemency exist because the system isn’t perfect and pretending otherwise is dangerous.That’s what our latest Weaponization Watch piece is about. @realDonaldTrump open.substack.com/pub/patriotfre…
2026-05-23T16:57 +0.00 immigrationdomesticlegal View original
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/dem-governor-hot-seat-testing-limits-authority-major-move-ice
2026-05-23T16:56 +0.00 medianeutral View original
We all miss the Huckster!
2026-05-23T16:56 +0.00 medianeutral View original
President Trump’s Fixation On Heaven Is Good For America: https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2026/03/president_trump_s_fixation_on_heaven_is_good_for_america.html
2026-05-23T16:55 +0.00 neutral View original
RT: https://truthsocial.com/users/realDonaldTrump/statuses/116624937762459378